Wednesday, October 2, 2013

NCAA Football TRS Top 25 after week 5

My apologies, I intended to get the initial TRS rankings for the season out before week 5's games, but didn't get it done in time.

So, I have updated the rankings, and they are looking pretty well trued up.  That's expected, and exactly the reason that I don't publish until we get a month into the season. 

For those of you who are not familiar with the concept I built my ranking system on, here is an overview of the facets I focus on, in order of importance.

1. Who did you play?
2. Did you win?
3. What was your margin?

I judge teams on what they have accomplished to that point, not on any expectation.  The more data we get, the closer to the final answer we get.  So, with no further ado, here are the TRS rankings following week 5 of the College Football Season.

TRS College Football Rankings
Rank School Wins Games SoS Margin
1 Alabama 4 4 2.75 82
2 Oregon 4 4 1.75 196
3 Florida State 4 4 2 145
4 Clemson 4 4 2.25 103
5 Georgia 3 4 3.5 35
6 Stanford 4 4 2.25 87
7 LSU 4 5 2.75 92
8 Texas Aggies 4 5 2.75 92
9 Ohio State 5 5 2 138
10 Washington 4 4 2 106
11 Arizona State 3 4 2.75 64
12 Miami 4 4 1.75 131
13 South Carolina 3 4 3.25 19
14 Utah State 3 5 2.5 117
15 Iowa 4 5 2.25 89
16 UCLA 3 3 1.5 104
17 Oklahoma 4 4 1.75 88
18 Florida 3 4 2.5 49
19 Georgia Tech 3 4 2 95
20 Wisconsin 3 5 2.25 115
21 Virginia Tech 4 5 2.5 37
22 Ole Miss 3 4 2.75 18
23 Louisville 4 4 1.25 165
24 Texas Tech 4 4 1.5 103
25 Minnesota 4 5 2.25 52
26 Baylor 3 3 1 186
27 Houston 4 4 1.5 94
28 UCF 3 4 2 69
29 Missouri 5 5 1.5 115
30 Boise State 3 5 2.25 91

Now, I know there are lot of you out there who are going to look at this get your feathers in a bunch about this team or that team.  Where is Fresno?  Where is Nebraska?  This is a holistic view.  If a team is truly better, it will play out over the season.  This a record of what we have seen to this point.

Yes, Fresno is unbeaten, but their 3 wins against FBS opponents were by a total of 7 points, and their 2 quality wins were at home, by a total of 2.  That does not bode well for neutral site games.  Nebraska did squeak by Wyoming, which looked good....until the Cowboys lost to Texas State.  Oh, and that UCLA thumping at home where the Huskers just disintegrated? 

Yeah. Ouch.

**UPDATED due to data error regarding Louisville.  Playing Eastern Kentucky is not the same as playing noone.**
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